I think that the
I think that the existence of Beethoven is remarkable, but I do not bristle at the suggestion that this event had a low probability given the initial state of the universe. Elliott Sober
Probability
Earlier attempts to show
Earlier attempts to show that simpler theories always have higher prior probabilities have failed, but there is a restricted circumstance in which the claim is right. Elliott Sober
Have I ever remarked
Have I ever remarked on how completely ridiculous it is to ask high school students to decide what they want to do with the rest of their lives and give them nearly no support in doing so? Support like, say, spending a day apiece watching twenty different jobs and then another week at their top … Read more
Psychology helps to measure
Psychology helps to measure the probability that an aim is attainable. Edward Thorndike
The most sublime efforts
The most sublime efforts of philosophy can extend no farther than feebly to point out the desire, the hope, or, at most, the probability, of a future state, there is nothing, except a divine revelation, that can ascertain the existence, and describe the condition of the invisible country which is destined to receive the souls … Read more
The laws of probability,
The laws of probability, so true in general, so fallacious in particular. Edward Gibbon
The highest historical probability
The highest historical probability can be adduced in support of the proposition that, if it were possible to annihilate the Bible, and with it all its influences, we should destroy with it the whole spiritual system of the moral world. Edward Everett
When you know absolutely
When you know absolutely nothing about the topic, make your forecast by asking a carefully selected probability sample of 300 others who don’t know the answer either. Edgar Fiedler
Coincidences, in general, are
Coincidences, in general, are great stumbling blocks in the way of that class of thinkers who have been educated to know nothing of the theory of probabilities- that theory to which the most glorious objects of human research are indebted for the most glorious of illustration. Edgar Allan Poe
If you look like
If you look like your passport photo, in all probability you need the journey. Earl Wilson